- Issue.
- Volume rebates owed under the three largest retailer agreements are accrued at a flat 1.5% of sales. The agreements specify tiered rates of 2.5% to 4% above volume thresholds that each retailer exceeded in both of the last two years. Reported gross margin is overstated as a result.
- Evidence.
- Retailer agreements, folder 3.4, schedule B, pp. 14 to 16; rebate accrual account 2140 in the general ledger export, folder 5.1; sales by customer, management accounts, tab "Revenue by account".
- Reviewer's note.
- Confirmed against contract terms and retailer volumes. No amendment or side letter in the data room reduces the rates.
- Estimated impact.
- $0.7M to $1.0M reduction in run-rate EBITDA, plus a catch-up liability of roughly $1.5M for prior periods. At the LOI multiple of 10.0x, $7M to $10M of enterprise value. The catch-up is a one-time cash item and is not multiplied.
- Candidate remedies.
- Price adjustment, a specific indemnity for prior-period rebates, or a working capital adjustment at closing.
- Next step.
- Request the rebate statements issued to the three retailers and any correspondence on rebate disputes or credits.